SI: Intermingling Alliances

Survivor Instinct
Second Thoughts and Sudden Thoughts About Survivor

Intermingling Alliances
Now that the merge has happened, it's a whole new game. Here's a quick look at the alliances as I see them.

Original Tribes
Yaxha Tribe
Stephenie, Rafe, Gary, Jaime, Lydia

Nakum Tribe
Bobby Jon, Brandon, Danni, Judd, Cindy

Current Tribes (after the switch)
Yaxha Tribe
Gary, Danni, Brandon, Bobby Jon

Nakum Tribe
Cindy, Judd, Jaime, Rafe, Stephenie, Lydia

The Alliances As I See Them
Danni, Brandon and Bobby Jon
These three have been together since the start and Amy recently said that Danni and Brandon have been together since Day 1.

Stephenie, Rafe, and Jaime
These three have also been together since the beginning. Lydia has been with them as well however I think they are just carrying her along. She would be the first gone if she is in with them. Judd was nice to have around for competitions but now that it's individual immunity he is expendable.

Floaters - No Real Alliance
Gary is probably not as close with Danni's Alliance as he thinks he is. Cindy knows she's not welcomed with the current Nakum's so look for her to join up with others. Judd and Lydia probably think they are in with Stephenie's Alliance but that would be a mistake.

So Who Gets Voted Off Next?
Judd, unless he gets immunity of course. He's a threat to win immunity and he's annoying to too many people. With ten Survivors, six votes are needed to avoid a tie (which I'm sure no one wants). Judd is simply the easiest and agreeable to the greatest number of people.

Or not, I could be wrong; it has happened before.

Next Update: Wednesday night or Thursday morning, Episode 8 Preview